View Article  Today’s Financial Headlines: Real or Hype?

 

US consumer spending rises more than expected

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8379084.stm

 

US consumer confidence edges up but remains subdued

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8376848.stm

 

Eurozone economic activity 'hits a two-year high'

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8373879.stm

 

South African economy emerges from recession

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8376294.stm

 

Thailand economy boosted by manufacturing

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8373613.stm

 

Stocks rise on economic hopes

http://money.cnn.com/2009/11/25/markets/markets_newyork/index.htm

 

Jobless claims plummet to 14-month low

http://money.cnn.com/2009/11/25/news/economy/initial_jobless_claims/index.htm

 

New home sales spike in October

http://money.cnn.com/2009/11/25/real_estate/October_new_homes/index.htm

 

Considering that Black Friday, the biggest shopping day, is coming up, I say hype. These financial gains are stimulated driven and short term, analogous to taking aspirin for a brain tumor.

 

 

View Article  The Pilgrims Arrive -- The Thanksgiving Myth

 

Native American Series

 

Lies My Teacher Told Me by James Loewen, 1995, Excerpts

 

“Profit” was the primary reason most Mayflower colonist made the trip. As Robert Moore has pointed out, “Textbooks neglect to analyze the profit motive underlying much of our history.” The Pilgrims hardly “started from scratch” in a “wilderness.” Throughout New England, Native Americans had repeatedly burned the underbrush, creating a park like environment. They chose Plymouth because of its beautiful cleared fields, recently planted in corn, and its useful harbor and “brook of fresh water.”

 

Throughout New England, colonist appropriated Indian corn fields for their initial settlements, avoiding the backbreaking labor of clearing the land of forest and rock. This explains why, to this day, the names of so many towns throughout the region – Marshfield, Springfield, Deerfield – end in field.

 

Pilgrim-Indian relations started reasonably positive. Not all the native inhabitants had perished, and the survivors now facilitated British settlement. The Pilgrims began receiving Indian assistance on their second full day in Massachusetts. Plymouth, unlike many other colonies, usually paid the Indians for the land it took. In some instances Europeans settled in Indian towns because Indians had invited them, as protection against another tribe or a nearby competing European power.

 

The Pilgrims’ courage in setting forth in the late fall to make their way on a continent new to them remains unsurpassed. In their first year the Pilgrims, like the Indians, suffered from diseases, including scurvy and pneumonia; half of them died. They did not cause the plague and were as baffled as to its origin as the stricken Indian villagers. For at least a century Puritan ministers thundered their interpretation of the meaning of the plague from New England pulpits.

 

The Real Thanksgiving

 

The true history of Thanksgiving reveals embarrassing facts. The Pilgrims did not introduce the tradition; Eastern Indians had observed autumnal harvest celebrations for centuries. Our modern celebrations date back only to 1863. During the Civil War, when the Union needed all the patriotism that such an observance might muster, Abraham Lincoln proclaimed Thanksgiving a national holiday. The Pilgrims had nothing to do with it; not until the 1890s did they even get included in the tradition.

The First Thanksgiving [1914] by Jennie A. Brownscombe (1850-1936), Pilgrim Hall Museum, Plymouth, Massachusetts

 

View Article  Capital Structure Flaw of Corporations

Form of Money Series

INTRODUCTION

 

The stock market provides an opportunity for investors of all sizes to participate in the ownership of corporations. The premise for purchasing the stock of a corporation is to obtain equity or owner rates of return on the investment plus the eventual return of the original investment. Question: when and how does a publicly traded corporation plan to repay the original investment?

 

CORPORATE INVESTMENT

 

Generally, a corporation identifies an investment opportunity and issues stock to fund the investment. The investment, such as machinery, has a useful life expectancy. The investor who purchases the stock expects to get a targeted return on the investment plus the recovery of the original investment.

 

As so far described, the issuance of stock has been tied to a specific investment. In practice, the issuance of stock is blended into the overall corporate ownership and is not tied to a specific investment. The stockholder participates in many investments by the corporation. Regardless, the funds received from stock issuance are used to make specific investments by the corporation.

 

THE ABERRATION

 

The corporation uses the proceeds from stock issuance to make an investment, such as machinery, and someday that investment will eventually reach the end of its useful life. When that investment expires, the corporation should retire the originally issued stock. If not, the stock remains on the balance sheet expecting equity rates of returns to be serviced by an expired investment.

 

Corporations occasionally buy back its own stock, usually to be reissued at a later date, but rarely to "retire" the stock based on an expired investment. A corporation may issue stock to pay down existing debt; however, this is counter to conventional capital theory since equity money has higher ROR expectations than borrowed money. On the other hand, borrowed money has an enforceable due date for repayment and equity money does not.

 

As more stock is issued for other investments, the cash flow to service the expected returns on recently issued stock must also service stock returns issued for past investments whose useful life has expired. This is equivalent to continually borrowing money to pay interest due.

Hence, a corporation that does not retire stock is a type of pyramid scheme. All pyramid schemes have a compounding period and interest rate. A lower interest rate and a longer compounding period merely flattens the pyramid and takes longer to play out. In bankruptcy proceedings, the stockholder is last in line to make a claim, and the well is usually dry by the time the stockholder steps up to the bucket.

 

PERPETUAL GROWTH

 

Stock collapse is prevented by "perpetual growth." As long as the corporation can maintain compounding growth, the event where the returns on current investments can no longer service a disproportionately large equity base can be pushed into the future, but not indefinitely.

 

SUMMARY

 

The issue is not whether "growth" is a flawed concept. Growth itself is a vague term that has a wide variety of meanings from individual to individual and is generally viewed as "a good thing"; however, the emphasis of compounding growth as a national economic policy measured by the Dow Jones Average or Gross National Product may not encompass all the desired attributes of growth.

 

An investor wants to recover his equity before investment failure; hence, the search for the greater fool, the greater fool being the investor who buys the stock of a corporation just as perpetual growth slows or ceases. The public stock market is the most opportune market to find the last buyers, hence the greatest fools.

 

When a corporation's stock declines, an investor's losses can be offset with gains in other corporations using a diversified corporate portfolio. When an industry starts to decline, an investor's losses can be offset with gains in other industries using a diversified industry portfolio. The diversified portfolio is insurance that the investor will only be fooled part of the time.

 

CONCLUSION

 

Ever-increasing growth, as measured by compounding interest concepts, is an inherent flaw embedded in the corporate and debt structure. Collapse is inevitable.

 

View Article  Alternate Forms of Money

 

Form of Money Series

 

The acceptance of alternate forms of money is the path of least resistance, an alternative to conflict. One may speculate on alternate forms of money. Recall, any commodity can be money. As an example, let’s consider electricity as an alternate form of money. Electricity is a primary societal need. Everybody is wired to electricity. To not have electricity would severely disrupt society. The intrinsic value of an electrical unit, measured in kilowatts, is uniform and measurable. One root of all comparative valuation could be a kilowatt.

 

Since the storage capacity of electricity is negligible, the extraction rate of electricity equals its consumption rate. For the most part, what’s produced is consumed immediately. Though the extraction rate and the consumption rate may increase, they increase proportionately. As long as the storage capacity of electricity is negligible, the result is a zero growth rate of money. A zero growth rate does not facilitate the application of interest. Society will restructure itself to accommodate a zero growth form of money.

 

Oil, natural gas, coal, nuclear, and hydro are the predominate sources of energy used in the production of electricity. Solar, wind, and bio are ancillary energy sources. Oil, natural gas, and coal are finite resources with extremely low replenishment rates. The relationship of a kilowatt with its energy source would become primary societal knowledge. To ‘save money’ would be to save electricity, perhaps enough to eliminate the need for nuclear and foreign fossil fuels immediately.

 

The immediate source of money would be the utility serving the local power grid. In California, PG&E would be the utility for Northern California and Socal Edison would be the utility for Southern California. The production of electricity comes from many sources contracted with the utility; however, the distribution of electricity is centralized and controlled by the utility. The management of money would go from global to regional while still maintaining a global form of money. Eventually and perhaps quickly, more independent ways to produce electricity would be creatively found.

 

From there, the logistical details of how an actual transaction occurs using electricity as a form of money becomes academic. It takes a lot of people to run the utility and they have needs like everyone else i.e., the basis of trade with others. The rest is accounting.

 

 

The same analysis can be applied to other alternate forms of money.

View Article  Social Groups and Money

 

Form of Money Series

 

Those who control, or are perceived to control, the societal form of money walk a perilous line. On one hand, they are highly compensated and enjoy luxuries afforded to few. On the other hand, if the skewed distribution of wealth causes intolerable stress for many others, then those perceived to control the societal form of money may suffer the wrath of a Market correction.

 

Albert Speer: His Battle with Truth by Gitta Sereny

"You have to think," Dr. Huphauer said, "that multiplying that ‘seven million unemployed’ figure by a conservative three to include families, there were then about twenty million people in need, with no unemployment insurance and only the most minimal social security benefits. When the earlier catastrophe, the inflation, struck, when a loaf of bread cost a million marks and butter and meat ceased to exist for millions of people, they grew to hate - really hate - anyone who had money, thereby exacerbating the already profoundly resented class system."

 

Tagging a specific social group that has been significantly woven into a society and then yanking that group from the fabric will tear the society significantly. All societal members will suffer the tear, rippling through generations.

 

When the societal form of money does not function well for many, those who maintain wealth are perceived by the others to be privileged and conspirators. When monetary stress becomes critical, the simplistic tagging of all wealthy people prevails.

 

The History of Money by Jack Weatherford, 1997

Everyone seemed to be looking for a scapegoat to take the blame for the calamitous monetary and economic fallout of the era. In each country, politicians attacked the wealthy class or some particular segment of it - the aristocrats and landed peasants in Russia and the Armenians in Turkey, for example, or the Jews in Germany. Perhaps in an effort to counter the hostility directed toward them, the richest of the plutocrats began performing massive and highly publicized works of charity.

 

Privilege (Random House Dictionary):

a right, immunity, or benefit enjoyed only by a person beyond the advantages of most: the privileges of the very rich.

 

Conspiracy (Random House Dictionary):

1. the act of conspiring. 2. an evil, unlawful, treacherous, or surreptitious plan formulated in secret by two or more persons; plot. 3. a combination of persons for a secret, unlawful, or evil purpose.

 

Instead, monetary frustrations should be focused towards eliminating flawed monetary concepts as root causes of monetary stress and cyclical conflict. A monetary collapse is a window of opportunity to make progress towards a more perfect Market.