View Article  Baby Boomers to Strain Growth

The baby boomers are finally reaching retirement, and just by their shear numbers, have the potential to negatively impact economic growth. Certain sectors will boom, such as drugs and related health care, but over all, the economy will strain. Since growth is the prevailing mantra, the old folks are going to have to work longer, or get out the way. Or perhaps this will be the boomers' final legacy, sending the economy into a tailspin by getting old. Now that's irony!

 

Retirement age 'should reach 85'

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4726300.stm

The age of retirement should be raised to 85 by 2050 because of trends in life expectancy, a US biologist has said. That will put a strain on economies around the world if current retirement ages are maintained, he warned. The Stanford researcher has been looking at relationships between historical trends in ageing, population growth and economic activity. In the US, the cost of social security and medical care would almost double if people retired at 65 under Tuljapurkar's scenario. But an increase in the retirement age to 85 would bring costs down to today's levels.

 

EU Faces Strain of Aging Population

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/6E332658-01A5-4A5E-89EC-FD92B5ED5935.htm

The European Commission is warning governments they face lower growth rates and higher spending due to the number of elderly Europeans. A commission report to the 25 EU governments said: "The retirement of the post-war baby-boom generation as of 2010 and continuous increase in life expectancy means Europe will go from having four to only two people of working age for every elderly citizen by 2050."

 

Bernanke Voices US Deficit Fears

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4807844.stm

US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has voiced concerns over the size of the US budget deficit. Mr Bernanke warned persistent deficits need to be curbed, particularly as an ageing population will raise pressure on government spending.

Widening the deficit would put future living standards at risk, he added. US finances were expected to come under "severe pressure" as baby-boomers began to retire and collect their Social Security and Medicare benefits.

 

View Article  Winds of War: Currencies in Motion

[Feb, 2006] Syria Picks Euros Over Dollars

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/ABA36728-9F9D-4A2C-8F37-9C3230B7E971.htm

Syria has switched all of the state's foreign currency transactions to euros from dollars amid a political confrontation with the United States. Duraid Durgham, the head of state-owned Commercial Bank of Syria, said on Monday: "This is a precaution. We are talking about billions of dollars. Switching to the euro will help us avoid settlement problems in the United States.

"The move is also needed to avoid complications with our correspondent banks, which have expressed a preference to deal in euro under these circumstances." He said the switch would mean euro pricing for crude oil sales, a major foreign currency earner for Syria.

The latest official figures show Syria imported $6.7 billion goods in 2004 and exported $5.4 billion. Oil output is about 400,000 barrels a day. In 2004, Washington imposed sanctions that prohibited certain US exports to Syria, severed financial ties with the Commercial Bank of Syria, and froze the assets of Syrians believed to be linked to terrorism. After the assassination of Rafiq al-Hariri, the former Lebanese prime minister, a year ago, the US led foreign pressure on Syria for its alleged role in the killing.

One economist said the euro move by the Commercial Bank of Syria "looked like a kind of pre-emptive action aimed at making their foreign assets safer and preventing them from getting frozen in case of any conflict".

 

[Jan 05, 2006] – Treasury Secretary John Snow

“I’m just back from China recently and pressed them on [the currency] issue. And found that they are putting in place mechanisms to allow the currency to have greater flexibility....So I think we’re on the right course.” 

 

[Nov, 2005] Money on the Move: Seeking Safe Haven Out of Syria

http://www2.debka.com/article.php?aid=1104

Influential Syrian VIPs appear to have read the UN resolution carefully last week and are absconding. DEBKAfile’s intelligence sources reveal large cash withdrawals from Syrian banks, currency conversions and transfers to banks outside the country. The flight of money was accompanied by an exodus of some of the leading families of Damascus – anxious to beat "the ban on travel and assets freeze" mandated by the UN resolution for suspects in the Hariri murder plot.

The largest capital transfer – estimated at $6-7bn – was made by the tycoon Rami Makhlouf who lost no time in removing himself, business and family from Damascus to Dubai. Makhlouf’s defection is a mortal blow for Assad and his shrinking circle of supporters. He is not only the manager of the Assad clans’ finances, his is also a close kinsman; Bashar’s mother is his aunt, sister of his father General Adnan Makhlouf, who served the late president Hafez Assad in a top position of trust as commander of the presidential guard.

His huge capital transfer and removal of his business center from the Syrian capital are capable of bringing the national economy crashing down about Assad’s ears.

 

[Nov, 2005] Iran to Switch to Euros

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/C1C0C9B3-DDA9-42E2-AE9C-B7CDBA08A6E9.htm

[Emilie Rutledge is a British economist who is currently based at the Gulf Research Center in Dubai].

Iran's decision to set up an oil and associated derivatives market next year has generated a great deal of interest. This is primarily because of Iran’s reported intention to invoice energy contracts in euros rather than dollars. It is primarily the US which stands to lose out from any move away from the petrodollar status quo, it is the world’s largest importer of oil and a move away from invoicing oil in dollars to euros will undoubtedly have a negative effect on its economy. The current petrodollar system greatly benefits the US; it enables it to effectively control the world oil-market as the dollar has become the fiat currency for international trade.

George Perkovich, of the Washington based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace has argued that Iran’s decision to consider invoicing oil sales in euros is "part of a very intelligent strategy to go on the offense in every way possible and mobilize other actors against the US."

 

[Jul, 2004] Two Credible Reasons for Invading Iraq

http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,1270414,00.html

There were only two credible reasons for invading Iraq: control over oil and preservation of the dollar as the world's reserve currency. In 1999, Iran mooted pricing its oil in euros, and in late 2000 Saddam made the switch for Iraqi oil. In early 2002 Bush placed Iran and Iraq in the axis of evil. If the other Opec countries had followed Saddam's move to euros, the consequences for Bush could have been huge. Worldwide switches out of the dollar, on top of the already huge deficit, would have led to a plummeting dollar, a runaway from US markets and dramatic upheavals in the US.

 

Al Qaeda Economic Objective [Imperial Hubris]

Just under the noise, death, and rhetoric yielded by the foregoing episodes of war lies a largely ignored factor that may constitute al Qaeda’s main war effort – the steady bleeding of the U.S. economy. The immediate impact is massive expenditures – at all levels of American government – that will add permanently to the size and cost of government. In addition to the cost of hiring thousands of federal employees for homeland security purposes; acquiring buildings, equipment, and training to make them effective; and requiring proportionate upgrading at state, municipal, and local levels; there lie what must be substantial amounts of unpredictable expenditures for overtime wages – in government and business alike – whenever Washington raises the threat level, or when high levels of security are provided at public places or functions heretofore not seen as serious security risks. The September 11 attacks were not apocalyptic onslaughts on Western civilization. They were country-specific attacks meant to inflict substantial, visible, and quantifiable human and economic destruction on America.

 

Notable Quotes

Whoever controls the volume of money in our country is absolute master of all industry and all commerce and when you realise that the entire system is very easily controlled, one way or another, by a few powerful men at the top, you will not have to be told how periods of inflation and depression originate." -- President James A. Garfield, just a few weeks before he was assassinated on July 2nd, 1881.

"Give me control of a nation's currency and I care not who makes it's laws." -- Mayer Amschel Bauer Rothschild

“The world is governed by very different personages from what is imagined by those who are not behind the scenes." --Prime Minister Benjamin Disraeli of England, in 1844.

View Article  The Cartoon Tipping Point

The rioting over the cartoon is the Tipping Point, or the proverbial 'straw that broke the camel's back.' The West has been meddling in the ME for decades. To focus just on the rioting is to ignore all prior history and to fall for the 'religion of death' stereotypes. This is what they see:

Imperial Hubris

The United States is hated across the Islamic world because of specific U.S. government policies and actions. That hatred is concrete not abstract, martial not intellectual, and it will grow for the foreseeable future. While important voices in the United States claim the intent of U.S. policy is misunderstood by Muslims, that Arabic television channels deliberately distort the policy, and that better public diplomacy is the remedy, they are wrong. America is hated and attacked because Muslims believe they know precisely what the United States is doing in the Islamic world. They know partly because of bin Laden’s words, partly because of satellite television, but mostly because of the tangible reality of U.S. policy. We are at war with an al Qaeda-led, worldwide Islamist insurgency.

Bin Laden has been precise in telling America the reasons he is waging war on us. None of the reasons have anything to do with our freedom, liberty, and democracy, but have everything to do with U.S. polices and actions in the Muslim world.

A coalition that includes Russia, China, India, the Philippines, Indonesia, and Yemen; the dictators of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the UAE, Kuwait, and Egypt; the titans of nineteenth-century colonialism in the Middle East, Britain, and France; and the state of Israel makes bin Laden look like a prophet of old, as his supporters or sympathizers believe they see the truth of his argument that America wants allies only among those willing to oppress Muslims and eliminate Islam.

The U.S. has allied itself with regimes whose barbarism has long earned the Muslim world’s hatred. It is America that is on bin Laden’s bull’s-eye; at this time, Russia, China, and India are not. We are in fight to the death with al Qaeda whether or not these states approve, and our support for them makes the fight harder because it again validates bin Laden’s contention that the United States is attacking Islam and supports any country willing to kill or persecute Muslims.